tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post4419824845471090741..comments2023-10-19T06:59:20.135-07:00Comments on Kishkushim خربطات קישקושים: Talking to SyriaAmoshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03465114506715277544noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-75303357242553367962007-03-19T16:03:00.000-07:002007-03-19T16:03:00.000-07:00...the agreement with North Korea, which, strange ...<I>...the agreement with North Korea, which, strange as it may seem, could even earn Bush a Nobel Peace Prize. Bitterly opposed by John Bolton, the North Korea deal basically marked a return to the Korea policy of Bill Clinton.</I><BR/><BR/>Huh? Earn whom a Nobel?<BR/><BR/>As you note, it was Clinton's agreement. Or Bill Richardson's. Not Bush's. I suspect the Nobel committee will realize that.<BR/><BR/>(In fact, while it is similar, this deal has somewhat worse terms for the USA than the one negotiated under Clinton.)avishalomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13240915495802906784noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-65505196883743146922007-03-19T10:49:00.000-07:002007-03-19T10:49:00.000-07:00מר חצבאני שלום:אני ושאר עורכי הבלוג נשמח ליצור קשר...מר חצבאני שלום:<BR/>אני ושאר עורכי הבלוג נשמח ליצור קשר איתך. מתי שיהיה לך הזדמנות, שלח אימייל לכתובת הנ''ל:<BR/>jbkishkushim aT gmail dOt com .<BR/>אנחנו מאוד מעוניים ברקע המשפחתי . <BR/>בברכה,<BR/>ג'וןJ.https://www.blogger.com/profile/13210829547141285116noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-6044482808353189352007-03-19T10:13:00.000-07:002007-03-19T10:13:00.000-07:00Hazbani gain. Have you ever been to liechtenstein?...Hazbani gain. Have you ever been to liechtenstein? If it was a normal world then the Golan + Shaba + El Hama would become a principlity, with Joumblat the rulling Prince. He could still live in Lebanon, or Paris if he so desire. It would border on Leb. Isr. Syria. Jordan. And all of these will agree to keep it neutral "for ever". The citizens of this paradise will be able to work, study, live, play in all these countris without a viza. You could ski in the winter, take the hot bath of El Hama, fish in the sea of Galili, eat the best apples in the world. some of our friends will build there casinoes better than Las Vegas. others will build a beautifull Hospital for the rich.God it will be some thing. And this is all because I did not listen to Jeha and did not take my pill.<BR/>Hazbani,Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-80584863283850043132007-03-14T18:43:00.000-07:002007-03-14T18:43:00.000-07:00Jeha, thank you for your insights. When I took cou...Jeha, thank you for your insights. When I took courses about Syria, and in my reading about it, I was always told that the Asads' domestic credibility hinges on their recovering the Golan someday, since they were the ones who lost it to Israel. It's interesting that you point out the Druze factor - does the fact that the Druze are not major power brokers in Syria make a difference? You raise some very interesting points. Thanks...J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/13210829547141285116noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-10809221137161794812007-03-14T18:21:00.000-07:002007-03-14T18:21:00.000-07:00Solana's position is the default international pos...Solana's position is the default international position; legally, the Israeli annexation of the Golan is null and void, with no international recognition for it. So he's only stating the obvious; that, while the West Bank and Gaza could constitute "disputed" territories, the Golan heights are clearly "occupied" Syrian lands. But do not expect Bashar to jump on the offer to get them back; they were netting between 2 and 3 Billion from Lebanon, far more than the Golan could ever generate... Plus it is "only" a home for the Druze.<BR/><BR/>On another note, I would not be too pessimistic about Syria, nor would I be too concerend about Israeli reports. The Syrians cannot afford war, and this time Hezb has stoked far deadlier ennemies within Lebanon... And those disappearing Iranian officers must be going somewhere... Any escalation could get them browny points in some parts of the Arab world, but definitely not in Lebanon, where it could even be Hezb's undoing...Jehahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08714767132428450071noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-72606277168080875002007-03-14T12:17:00.000-07:002007-03-14T12:17:00.000-07:00Did you hear about Javier Solana's visit to Damasc...Did you hear about Javier Solana's visit to Damascus today and his public support for Syria regaining the Golan Heights? I realize that this in no way constitutes an EU policy change - neither the EU nor the US recognizes Israel's annexation of the Golan Heights. But for Solana to come out and make that kind of declaration now is very significant. Maybe Lebanon really is in luck - my hunch is that Solana talked tough on Lebanon with Asad, but tried to sweeten the deal by making that declaration about the Golan. <BR/><BR/>I think that Syria can do more than launch a few "pinprick" attacks. Recent Israeli news reports talked about extensive preparations being made by Syria near the Golan - fortifications, pillboxes, massive artillery batteries. If Syria and Hizbullah attack, they could get a real political dividend in the Arab world. Syria might consider it a worthy gamble since Bashar is counting on Israel's fear of seeing his regime collapse.J.https://www.blogger.com/profile/13210829547141285116noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-11645920223521426622007-03-14T11:59:00.000-07:002007-03-14T11:59:00.000-07:00It is all about timing, and now is not the time (I...It is all about timing, and now is not the time (IMH-BA-O). My reasoning is based on the premise that the current regime in Syria can afford neither peace nor war. It is too weak to attack Israel other than pinpricks(1), and too illegitimate to be able to afford the reforms made necessary by peace.<BR/><BR/>But you're welcome to try. Luckily for us Lebanese, Syria and Israel are not the only ones at the table this time around, so we're not part of the offering (2) and the conversation will really focus on the Golan. Israel may find that Bashar is weak enough to "sign it away" like he did Hatay, but such a deal will not last beyond his successor.<BR/><BR/>NOTE: <BR/>(1) The Israeli consensus is that the leadership had screwed up the July War. In this respect, the Israeli defeat cannot be used as argument in support of Syria's pretend "dissuasive" powers.<BR/>(2) Luckily for Lebanon, Bashar managed to antagonize every single Arab leader, after loosing all credibility in the West.Jehahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08714767132428450071noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-24622549.post-4058203141745870112007-03-14T08:20:00.000-07:002007-03-14T08:20:00.000-07:00In Anisman we trust!In Anisman we trust!Noah Khttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13201220883843640147noreply@blogger.com